Archive for ‘Free Agency’

February 23, 2015

Here’s What the 53 Man Roster Could Look Like!

The following scenario takes into account the expected 2015 $142 Million Salary Cap (adjusted to almost $155 Million when taking into account 2014 rollover), possible trades, free agent acquisitions, free agent resignings and the draft.

Maneuvering in the Draft:

These moves assume four things – all of which are quite possible but probably unlikely that all four things break our way.  In no particular order, they are: 1) Marcus Mariota will still be on the board after the first 5 selections in the draft, 2) only one WR will be selected in the first 10 picks of the draft, 3) Chip Kelly is ready to back up his professed love of Mariota, 4) the Vikings focus on drafting a RB in the first round and believe that either Gordon or Gurley will be available with the 20th pick.

As you may have surmised from these assumptions, I’m suggesting two moves (one with the Eagles and one with Vikings) to move back to the 11th overall pick and select either Amari Cooper or Kevin White.  Specifically, I would have the Jets trade their 6th overall pick to the Eagles for their 1st (20th overall) and 2nd (52nd overall) round picks this year, their 1st round pick in 2016 and Nick Foles.  This is a steep price to pay for one player but getting from 20th to 6th is a lot of ground to cover and if Chip really believes Mariota is his franchise guy, then anything is possible.  Adding in Nick Foles to the trade shouldn’t be that big a deal since the acquisition of Mariota would make Foles expendable.

The second trade would be with the Vikings.  I would love to see the Jets land an elite WR in this draft.  In my opinion (and most analyst’s), there are two: Amari Cooper and Kevin White.  The Raiders will likely pick one of them with their 4th overall pick.  I’m hoping the ghost of Al Davis is honored and they pick the speed of Kevin White.  While White has a higher ceiling, I love Cooper’s reliability and route running.  The next team likely to pick a WR is the Browns with their 12th pick.  With Adrian Peterson likely not returning to the Vikings, there’s a good chance the Vikings will target a RB in the first round.  There’s also a good chance that one or both of the elite RB’s will still be on the board with the 20th selection.  Consequently, the Jets could trade their 1st round pick, (20th overall acquired from the Eagles), one of their 2nd round picks (52nd overall acquired from the Eagles) and their 4th round pick (101st overall) to the Vikings for the Vikings 1st round pick (11the overall) and their 4th round pick (107th overall).  This trade is consistent with the Trade Value Chart (Jets giving up 1,330 value points in exchange for 1,326).  With these moves, in aggregate, the Jets would basically get Nick Foles and an additional 1st round draft pick in next year’s draft in exchange for moving back 5 picks in both the 1st and 4th rounds.  If we were still able to secure a top WR with the 11th pick, this would be a huge coup!

Going through the roster now, position by position, I’ll show whose under contract, who we should trade for, draft, sign in free agency and release.

QB

  • Under Contract – Geno Smith
  • Trade  – acquire Nick Foles
  • Free Agent Signing – target adding Ryan Mallett (if he’s not available, resign Matt Simms)
  • Note: do not resign Michael Vick

RB

  • Under Contract – Chris Ivory
  • Free Agent Signing – resign Bilal Powell; target adding C.J. Spiller
  • Note: Chris Johnson was already released; keep Daryl Richardson on the practice squad

FB

  • Under Contract – Tommy Bohanon
  • Free Agent Signing – resign John Conner and have the two compete in training camp for the lone FB roster spot

WR

  • Under Contract – Eric Decker, Jeremy Kerley and Shaq Evans
  • Draft – Round 1 Amari Cooper (or Kevin White); Round 5 Chris Conley
  • Free Agent Signing – resign Chris Owusu; target Jeremy Maclin
  • Note: release Percy Harvin; allow T.J. Graham, Walter Powell, Saalim Hakim, and Quincy Enunwa to compete in camp with Shaq Evans and Chris Owusu for the 6th WR roster spot; don’t resign Greg Salas

TE

  • Under Contract – Jeff Cumberland and Jace Amaro
  • Draft – Round 4 Tyler Kroft
  • Free Agent Signing – target Jordan Cameron
  • Note: release Chris Pantale and Zach Sudfeld

Interior OL

  • Under Contract: Nick Mangold, Oday Aboushi, Dakota Dozier and Brian Winters
  • Free Agent Signing – target Mike Iupati
  • Note: don’t resign Willie Colon; release Dalton Freeman and Wesley Johnson

OT

  • Under Contract: D’Brickashaw Ferguson and Breno Giacomini
  • Draft: Round 7 D.J. Humphries
  • Free Agent Signing – resign Ben Ijalana

DE/DT

  • Under Contract: Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson and T.J. Barnes
  • Free Agent Signing – resign Leger Douzable

NT

  • Free Agent Signing – resign Damon Harrison and Kenrick Ellis

OLB

  • Under Contract: Quinton Coples, Ikemefuna Enemkpali and Trevor Reilly
  • Free Agent Signing – target Justin Houston (in the likely case that he will be franchised, then target Jerry Hughes)
  • Note: don’t resign Jermaine Cunningham, release Calvin Pace and Jason Babin

ILB

  • Under Contract: Demario Davis
  • Draft: Round 2 Eric Kendricks
  • Free Agent Signing – resign David Harris and Nick Bellore

CB

  • Under Contract: Marcus Williams, Darrin Walls, Dexter McDougle and Dee Milliner
  • Draft: Round 3 Jalen Collins
  • Free Agent Signing – target 2 of the following CB’s (in order of preference): Darrelle Revis, Kareem Jackson, Antonio Cromartie, Byron Maxwell
  • Note: don’t resign Phillip Adams or Kyle Wilson; if Dee Milliner is healthy, allow Marcus Williams and Darrin Walls to compete for the 6th CB roster spot (and buy a lottery ticket)

S

  • Under Contract: Calvin Pryor, Antonio Allen and Rontez Miles
  • Free Agent Signing – resign Jaiquawn Jarrett
  • Note: don’t resign Dawan Landry

Special Teams

  • Under Contract: Nick Folk, Ryan Quigley
  • Free Agent Signing – resign Tanner Purdum
  • Note: invite punters to camp to compete for Ryan Quigley’s roster spot

Going through the roster now, by mode of acquisition, I’ll prioritize the different acquisitions.

By Trade:

  • Nick Foles

Free Agents from other Teams:

  • High
    • Mike Iupati
    • Justin Houston/Jerry Hughes
    • Darrelle Revis/Kareem Jackson
  • Medium
    • Jeremy Maclin
    • C.J. Spiller
    • Jordan Cameron
  • Low
    • Kareem Jackson/Antonio Cromartie/Byron Maxwell
    • Ryan Mallett

Note: Taking into account the available cap space and the cap space freed up from the players I’ve suggested releasing, there should be enough room to sign the above free agents with the exception of the unlikely scenario that both Justin Houston and Darrelle Revis are in play.  It is almost a given that Justin Houston will get the franchise tag if a long-term deal is not reached and I also believe that the Patriots will be willing to pay Revis’ king’s ransom to make another run at the Lombardi before Tom rides off into the deflating sun.

Resigning Our Free Agents:

  • High
    • Damon Harrison
  • Medium
    • Bilal Powell
    • David Harris (High if we do not draft Eric Kendricks)
    • Leger Douzable
    • Kenrick Ellis
    • Jaiquawn Jarrett
    • Nick Bellore
  • Low
    • Chris Owusu
    • Ben Ijalana
    • Tanner Purdum
    • John Conner

Daft:

  • Round 1
    • Amari Cooper, WR (alternatively Kevin White, WR)
  • Round 2
    • Eric Kendricks, ILB
  • Round 3
    • Jalen Collins, CB
  • Round 4
    • Tyler Kroft, TE
  • Round 5
    • Chris Conley, WR
  • Round 7
    • D.J. Humphries, OT

So here is the blue print Mike Maccagnan.  What do you think?

Advertisements
April 25, 2014

Heading into the Draft, Jets Fans Should Be Thrilled

can't wait  (Noah K. Murray/The Star-Ledger)Thanks to the Buccaneers’ 4th round pick from the Revis trade and four compensatory picks, we have a whopping 12 picks going into this year’s draft (more than we had in ’07, ’09  & ’10 combined).

The four compensatory picks are the result of losing more unrestricted free agents than we gained last year.  We gained Antwan Barnes and Mike Goodson while losing Yeremiah Bell, LaRon Landry, Mike DeVito, Shonn Greene, Dustin Keller and Matt Slauson.

Currently we own the following picks in this year’s upcoming draft:

Round 1 – Pick 18, 18th overall

Round 2 – Pick 17, 49th overall

Round 3 – Pick 16, 80th overall

Round 4 – Pick 4, 104th overall (from the Buccaneers); Pick 15, 115th overall; Pick 37, 137th overall (compensatory)

Round 5 – Pick 14, 154th overall

Round 6 – Pick 19, 195th overall; Pick 33, 209th overall (compensatory); Pick 34, 210th overall (compensatory); Pick 37, 213th overall (compensatory)

Round 7 – Pick 18, 233rd overall

So far I absolutely love what John Idzik and the Jets have done in free agency.  I, like just about all Jets fans, would have liked to see us sign a top tier CB in free agency but I respect that the Jets were disciplined and stuck to their philosophy of not overpaying for the position.  If Dimitri Patterson can stay healthy (big if), I think many Jets fans will be very pleasantly surprised with the quality of play we have at corner this year.

I also wanted to see us retain Austin Howard but I wouldn’t have paid him half of the inexplicable 5 year / $30 million the Raiders ponied up.  Apparently the spirit of Al Davis is alive and well in Oakland.  While I place a big premium on continuity of the offensive line, I can not imagine paying any right tackle anything close to the Raiders’ offer.  Howard was a nice find for us and I would have liked to keep him a Jet but, for that kind of money, the Jets absolutely made the right move by letting him fly.

I also love that we did not sign DeSean Jackson.  No doubt he is a playmaker and we are certainly in need of playmakers but there’s a reason (other than just money) that the Eagles let him walk.  We just purged ourselves of one WR with questionable character, we don’t need another one to put on the same number.  I was calling for the Jets to cut Santonio Holmes immediately after the Miami loss on New Year’s Day 2012.  How is it that our best receiver and an appointed team “captain” was on the sidelines late in the 4th quarter as the team was trying to get in position for a game-winning FG as well as the 4th quarter TD drive that brought the Jets to within 2?  A game that, if we had won, would have propelled the Jets into the playoffs.  A game that our supposed best offensive player had his first career zero catch game.  Despite the huge cap hit that would have ensued, the Jets should have immediately cut him and sent a message to the team.  Obviously no one has the ability to predict injuries but with the power of hindsight, we can see that since that game on 1/1/12, Holmes has played in only 15 of 32 games and scored just two TD’s – TWO!  (Chaz Schilens also played in 15 games and had 2 TDs over the same time period and he wasn’t even on an NFL roster last season!)  We should have taken the hit.

So getting back to DeSean – he was instantly one of my least favorite players in the league when I watched him on Monday Night Football in only his second game as a “professional” when he flipped the ball on the 1 yard line in what should have been a 60 yard TD completion.  What was even more amazing to me was when I learned he made a similar mistake in High School during an Army All-American game when he fumbled the ball at the 1 yard-line while attempting to do a celebratory flip into the end zone.  This kind of selfishness and lack of learning from one’s mistakes are not qualities that are conducive to team sports.  Providing these types of players with fat contracts sends the wrong message to teammates that are doing their best to do things the right way.  Sure I’d love to have his speed and playmaking ability on the team but not at the expense of his baggage.  Plus at only 175 pounds and concussion-prone, who knows how long he’ll stay on the field.

 

So that’s a little bit about what the Jets didn’t do (that I love), here’s a little bit about what they did do (that I love)…  I love that they resigned Colon, Pace and Douzable.  Colon was a nice surprise for us last year.  Sure he had a lot of penalties but his toughness and leadership were great additions.  I have long thought that Pace was underrated – it was nice to see him get double digit sacks last year and earn another contract.  Also I think Douzable is a fantastic rotational player.  It’s a long season and depth is great thing.  Also resigning other back-up players and special teamers like Bellore and McIntyre are great because they know the system and have been getting better each year.  While they will likely never be starters, they’re very valuable and play a lot more snaps than most people realize.

Regarding the bigger names we’ve signed, the differences between Tannenbaum and Idzik became glaringly obvious.  I have a lot of affection for Tannenbaum (mainly because of his passion and love for the Jets) but I liken his free agency approach to be very similar to that of the nutritional choices that one makes when they opt to go grocery shopping in a gas station minimart on payday after fasting for two days.  To make a comparison with Idzik, I’ll use another analogy.  This one is of how two individuals may choose to enter a pool from a high-dive.  Tannenbaum would jump a bunch of times on the board, wave his hands getting everyone’s attention then grab his knees and cannonball into the pool drenching the first couple rows of spectators.  Idzik would wait a while, contemplating his options at the stairs before climbing the high dive.  The spectators might get bored and not even notice his climb.  Idzik would then deftly jump up and swan dive into the water.  The water would barely part enough to envelop him with a splash-less entry that would make any olympic diver jealous.

Universally, going into free agency, everyone said the Jets needed help on offense.  We had very little speed and hardly any weapons at the skill positions.  So what did Idzik do?  He went out and got the highest rated free agent QB in Vick, the highest rated free agent WR in Decker and the highest rated free agent RB in Johnson.  He also added a speedster WR in Jacoby Ford.  At 26, if Ford can stay healthy (his only complete season was his rookie year), he could prove to be a great addition.  Very quietly, Idzik added a lot of speed to the team.  A couple weeks ago Jeremey Lundband (@JLundbladESPN), a senior researcher at ESPN tweeted, “Jets now have NFL’s fastest RB (Chris Johnson 99), WR (Jacoby Ford 98) & QB (Michael Vick 92) according to Madden speed rating”  Idzik did all this without fanfare and without breaking the bank.  The Jets are in fantastic cap shape and have a ton of options.

In my next blog post, I’ll reveal who I think the Jets should target in the upcoming draft.

August 11, 2011

Nnamdi – He Chose… Poorly

Well, now that it the Jets’ offer has been made public (3 years, $30M), it is a little clearer why Nnamdi chose the Eagles but I still think he chose poorly.  If it was just about the money, he shouldn’t have voided the remainder of his contract with the Raiders.  In the tradition of Rex, I certainly don’t wish Nnamdi well but I hope he stays healthy.  I also feel that we are very fortunate to have signed Cro.  We have FIVE starting-caliber corners on the roster!  Can’t Wait! (bill me for that one Bart)

July 28, 2011

Why Nnamdi Should Choose the Jets

With the salary cap and the number of free agents the Jets have this year, I never really let myself think too much about the possibility of signing Nnamdi Asomugha.  However, after Santonio Holmes signed as quickly as he did along with the fact that we actually have room under the cap (see The New York Jets Cap), it is not only a possibility that Nnamdi could become a Jet, it makes a ton of sense for him.  Here’s why:

Making History

To achieve true greatness, one needs to make history.

Pairing Nnamdi’s rare talents with Darrell Revis’ would form potentially the greatest cornerback duo the NFL has EVER seen.  These Islands of Our Dreams would likely surpass Mike Haynes and Lester Hayes as the NFL’s best cornerback tandem ever.

The New York Jets haven’t won a Superbowl in over forty years.  Joe Namath, to this day, is beloved in New York.  If Nnamdi comes to NY and the Jets win a Superbowl, this town will love him forever.  Should the Jets, after knocking on the Superbowl’s door two years in a row, finally kick it in, people will be talking about what made the difference.  How couldn’t people look to Nnamdi (the best free agent available, in the most important position on defense, on a defensive-minded team) as responsible for making the difference.

Making Money

While Nnamdi could likely get paid a higher salary elsewhere, nowhere else would make him more marketable and land him more endorsements.  When you combine athletes salaries and endorsements, nearly 40% of Peyton Manning’s and a third of Tom Brady’s income came from endorsements.  In NY, Nnamdi also wouldn’t have to stoop to pitching women’s boots either – he’d have his pick of companies to choose from.

Imagine the instant marketing juggernaut that would be formed by pairing the two best players, at the most important defensive position, in America’s most popular sport, in the world’s best city!  If that doesn’t blow your mind, image if he’s the missing piece that brings the Lombardi trophy back to the big apple after a painful forty-four year absence!  Companies will be trowing money at him to endorse their products.  It is very likely that the difference in salary he would get from a team like the 49ers would more than be made up by the amount of endorsement opportunities he’d get in NY.

“The Saddest Thing In Life Is Wasted Talent”

That quote from A Bronx Tale when Lorenzo gives Calogero some life advice is very relevant.  When thinking of Nnamdi, the only thing I love more than his game is his character.  By all accounts, he is a very high character guy.  Being a high character guy, I think Nnamdi is interested in seeing how good he really is.  Unless he plays along side Revis or maybe Champ Bailey, he’ll never really know.

In and astounding 7 of 8 years Nnamdi has been in the NFL, he has recorded just 1 interception or less per season.  Since the Raiders have kept Nnamdi at right corner (unlike Revis who follows his opponent’s number one receiver wherever he may line up), opposing QB’s have simply not thrown Nnamdi’s way.  Since 2008, Darrell Revision was targeted an average of 5.6 times per game and Champ Bailey was targeted an average 4.7 of times per game.  Conversely, Nnamdi was targeted only 2.2 times per game.  If Nnamdi comes to the Jets, his targets (and interceptions) will certainly increase.  Nnamdi will have a rare opportunity to truly see how great he can be and have the opportunity to reach his full potential.

Location, Location, Location

Who doesn’t want to play for Rex Ryan?!  Yesterday Jim Rome interviewed Damien Woody and Woody said he’d rather retire than play for a team other than the Jets – he said, “it’s either Gang Green or nobody.”  Click here to watch the interview and hear straight from Woody’s mouth how and why players love playing for Rex.

In addition to playing for a defensive head coach that is unequivocally beloved by all who’ve played for him, the Jets:

    • are a true Superbowl contender (they’re the only team to make it to their conference championship game in the last two consecutive years)
    • are located in the ideal city for Nnamdi’s post-football career aspirations
    • have one of the best, if not the best, GMs in football in Mike Tannenbaum
    • have an owner in Woody Johnson that is committed to winning and puts his money where his mouth is
    • have some of the best facilities in the league
    • have a great culture – every player to a man says it’s a great environment
Nnamdi, if the above reasons are not enough to tip the scales in favor of you bringing your talents to NY, please let me know and I’ll give you many more!
July 28, 2011

The New York Jets Cap

Here are some reasons why the Jets went from a team considered to be over the cap to a team that could land the best offensive AND defensive free agents of 2011:

    • The so called, ‘dead money‘ will not count against the cap bring the Jets from one of the teams thought to be over the cap to being $7.8 million under the cap.
    • long-term deal with David Harris would likely free up more cap space as his current full franchise tender amount counts $10.2 million against the cap.
    • Only $2.5 million of Santonio Holmes‘ $50 million contract counts toward this year’s cap.
    • The willingness of Jets players such as Mark Sanchez to restructure their deals to make more cap room.